29 March 2024, Friday, 18:19
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Military Expert: Kremlin Getting Ready For New War

Military Expert: Kremlin Getting Ready For New War

The statement of the Lithuanian authorities that Russian military could have landed on the shore of the country, in the settlement of Juodkrante, is actively discussed in Lithuania.

A reporter of charter97.org in Vilnius decided to ask an armament expert, a reserve major Darius Antanaitis, whether Russians could have ventured to make such a move. And if they have ventured upon that, why it was Juodkrante, and what could be done for that not to repeat any more.

– The chairman of the Lithuanian Seimas’ National Security and Defense Committee, Arturas Paulauskas, has informed that Russian military could have landed in Juodkrante (a village on the Curonian Spit) during exercises. Does it mean that other unexpected guests can violate Lithuanian borders in the same way easily?

– Penetrating any country depends on two factors: border defence and skills of violators. As long as Lithuania is a member of the Schengen zone, the border with other countries which are members of this zone is open for movement of citizens. Without doubt, migrants, saboteurs and other persons could the territory of Lithuania in this way as well.

As for attempts to violate the border with Lithuania from the direction of Belarus or Russia, potential violators should have not only excellent training, but support of relevant agencies of those states as well.

– To our mind, could Russian spetsnaz have taken risks of triggering a major international row, and carry out exercises on the territory of Lithuania?

– I thing that they have not only been able to do so, but they have done that. I am convinced that they do not even consider that a risk. It is natural for them. Let’s recall what have been happening off the Scandinavia cost, when the naval forces of Sweden were looking for a Russian submarine ship. In the case of Lithuania the modus operandi is very similar. Everything what is needed for such actions – a small submarine vessel, and means for landing of saboteurs on the shore. Russia has all of that in Kaliningrad.

Why Juodkrante? Radars of Lithuanian military forces, frontier posts ensuring safety in the airspace and on the open sea of Lithuania, are situated there. The entire infrastructure is necessary for NATO forces to be deployed in our country in a crisis situation. Demolition or seizure of the infrastructure near Juodkrante would make it possible for saboteurs to take control of not only Klaipėda seaport, but the city itself. Capturing Klaipėda – the only ice-free port on our shore makes it possible for the potential aggressors to defer an advance of NATO forces arriving by sea.

I think that the Russian spetsnaz risked and carried out exercises on the territory of Lithuania, and they were the drills of in which way to occupy Lithuania.

– What could be done to stop such attacks of the eastern neighbour?

– First of all, we need a will to act. We should possess means to inflict unacceptable damage on any potential aggressor. We should have a will to use such means, a strong military reserve and permanent NATO bases in Lithuania. If we want a tranquil untroubled life, we should follow the path of Israel. To become a strong militarized state, secure to live in and to invest.

– The conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh region has flared recently. Who is to profit from it?

– The endless conflict had been preset by the Kremlin. I personally strongly doubt that it is to finish ever, as in reality it is not Armenia who conducts a war against Azerbaijan. The both sides buy armaments from Russia, besides, Azerbaijan is an ally of Turkey. And for today the Kremlin aims to involve Ankara in this conflict and thus weaken.

– Don’t you think that someone is diligently “warming up” all the frozen hotspots?

– All frozen conflicts are amounting to one thing: to destabilize the situation, in case the countries around Russia stop demonstrating loyalty to the Kremlin. Thanks to destabilizing of the situation such countries plunge into turmoil, and they have other things to do and cannot build bridges with the West or focus on growth of their country’s prosperity. The Kremlin is preparing for a war.

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