Michael Clarke: War Pendulum Is Swinging Back To Russia

A British expert told what to expect on the battlefield.

British defence expert Michael Clarke believes that Ukraine will be able to "beat" Russia on the battlefield in 2025, due to the development of the defence industry while the occupiers will not be able to launch a new large-scale offensive.

In an interview with Radio Liberty, Clark noted that Russia will remain an "aggressive player" in Europe until Ukraine wins the war.

According to Clarke, Putin now considers himself the winner.

"He thinks that the war in Gaza, and the softening of Western practical support to Ukraine, particularly in the United States, is giving him the advantage, and he's pushing all round. And so the Russians believe that they can gain more territory, perhaps the whole of the Donbas by the end of this year," the expert said.

In 2025, the pendulum may swing again, and events may develop in favour of Ukraine if it survives this year on the battlefield, Clarke is sure. Although he added that it will be a long war.

"This is industrial-age warfare. And that means it will last for a few years. And the pendulum swings backwards and forwards during an industrial-age war. And at the moment, the pendulum is swinging back to Russia. If it continues to swing back to Russia, it is possible that Ukraine will, in effect, be defeated. But if it doesn't swing all the way back, then it should begin to swing back toward Ukraine, if it survives this year, into 2025-2026," Clarke said.